Solar activity forecast for the period February 06 - February 07, 2025

Issued: 2025 February 05 17:00 UTC


Analysis from February 04/1700 UTC to February 05/1700 UTC:

Sunspot Regions on the Disk 05/1553 UTC (SDO Continuum): 13
The Largest Event: M2.7 from Region 3977 at 05/0750 UT
X-ray background flux (1.0-8.0 A) February 04: C3.0
Radio Flux 10.7 cm at 04/2300 UTC (Penticton): 210
Solar Wind Speed at 05/1645 UTC: 383.4 km/s, Density: 3.6 p/cm^3


Forecast:

activity level will be moderate to high
Event probabilities: Class C: 99, Class M: 85, Class X: 35, Proton: 25
X-ray background flux (1.0-8.0 A): in the range C2.0-C3.0
Radio Flux 10.7 cm: a fluctuation in the range 200-230

Michael Vavra
RWC Prague, Astronomical Institute, Solar Dept., Ondrejov, Czech Republic
e-mail: sunwatch(at)asu.cas.cz