Solar activity forecast for the period July 03 - July 04, 2024

Issued: 2024 July 02 17:00 UTC


Analysis from July 01/1700 UTC to July 02/1700 UTC:

Sunspot Regions on the Disk 02/1523 UTC (SDO Continuum): 11
The Largest Event: C3.6 from Region S16E88 at 01/2233 UT
X-ray background flux (1.0-8.0 A) July 01: C1.3
Radio Flux 10.7 cm at 01/2300 UTC (Penticton): 169
Solar Wind Speed at 02/1646 UTC: 378.3 km/s, Density: 1.5 p/cm^3


Forecast:

activity level will be low to moderate
Event probabilities: Class C: 99, Class M: 45, Class X: 15, Proton: 05
X-ray background flux (1.0-8.0 A): in the range C1.2-C1.4
Radio Flux 10.7 cm: a fluctuation in the range 157-181

Vlastislav Feik
RWC Prague, Astronomical Institute, Solar Dept., Ondrejov, Czech Republic
e-mail: sunwatch(at)asu.cas.cz