Issued: 2024 August 31 17:00 UTC


Analysis from August 30/1700 UTC to August 31/1700 UTC:

Sunspot Regions on the Disk 31/1453 UTC (SDO Continuum): 17
The Largest Event: M1.8 from region 3806 at 31/1302 UT
X-ray background flux (1.0-8.0 A) August 30: C3.5
Radio Flux 10.7 cm at 30/2300 UTC (Penticton): 216
Solar Wind Speed at 31/1645 UTC: 395.5 km/s, density : 10.3 p/cm^3


Forecast:

Activity level will be: moderate to high - explanation
Event probabilities: Class C: 99%, Class M: 70%, Class X: 25%, Proton: 15%
X-ray background flux (1.0-8.0 A): in the range C3.5-C5.5
Radio Flux 10.7 cm: a fluctuation in the range 205-225

Michael Vavra
RWC Prague, Astronomical Institute, Solar Dept., Ondrejov, Czech Republic
e-mail: sunwatch(at)asu.cas.cz